Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.438840 0.516973 0.603073 0.704728 0.821191 0.950165 1.103512
2024-10-06 0.342815 0.452021 0.584297 0.755102 0.968469 1.224753 1.554272
2024-10-13 0.258095 0.376517 0.532476 0.750087 1.042565 1.418336 1.933227
2024-10-20 0.199529 0.318903 0.488287 0.741194 1.103129 1.595268 2.306161
2024-10-27 0.158630 0.275607 0.453159 0.734694 1.160298 1.767941 2.685905
2024-11-03 0.133068 0.249276 0.436588 0.749717 1.246087 1.984929 3.144176
2024-11-10 0.111965 0.225266 0.418489 0.757683 1.319187 2.187038 3.595602
2024-11-17 0.094480 0.203569 0.399854 0.760596 1.382245 2.376800 4.041478
2024-11-24 0.081655 0.187641 0.388095 0.772367 1.459200 2.592739 4.542968
2024-12-01 0.070049 0.171526 0.373038 0.775397 1.520107 2.785911 5.020782
2024-12-08 0.057308 0.150127 0.344152 0.748338 1.523821 2.882176 5.344202
2024-12-15 0.051831 0.143584 0.343620 0.774908 1.626656 3.154809 5.982758
2024-12-22 0.046301 0.135969 0.340157 0.796190 1.723644 3.428372 6.649541
2024-12-29 0.043472 0.134439 0.349675 0.845380 1.879444 3.820048 7.552819
2025-01-05 0.037087 0.122180 0.333071 0.837004 1.920475 4.004361 8.097559
2025-01-12 0.031561 0.110796 0.316449 0.826039 1.954489 4.177204 8.632153
2025-01-19 0.027075 0.101167 0.302297 0.818405 1.993921 4.362199 9.200098
2025-01-26 0.024320 0.096063 0.298677 0.834720 2.085821 4.655896 9.992428
2025-02-02 0.021593 0.090293 0.292283 0.843390 2.161475 4.922088 10.747716
2025-02-09 0.019018 0.084284 0.284151 0.846556 2.224777 5.167167 11.476091
2025-02-16 0.017086 0.079991 0.280087 0.859475 2.311442 5.466085 12.329006
2025-02-23 0.015105 0.074898 0.272757 0.862797 2.375709 5.721941 13.109588
2025-03-02 0.012543 0.066625 0.254151 0.833059 2.357568 5.799881 13.529763